Combat Edge Intelligence

Molly McCann vs Nicolle Caliari

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record9-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
62"Reach 62"
116 lbsWeight116 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Nicolle CaliariNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
50%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.01
63%
Strike defense
54%
1.84
Takedown avg.
2.88
37%
Takedown accuracy
24%
39%
Takedown defense
0%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Molly McCannNicolle Caliari
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (44%)
7 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolle Caliari61%
Molly McCann 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolle Caliari a 61% favorite over Molly McCann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Molly McCann's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1594), separated by just 2 points.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Molly McCann finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nicolle Caliari 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.