Montel Jackson vs Raoni Barcelos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
75″Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Montel Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1762
If they lose-14→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1794
If they lose-18→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1709 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Montel JacksonRaoni Barcelos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montel Jackson56%
Raoni Barcelos 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 56% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (45%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1744, a 36-point edge.
Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Montel Jackson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.
Montel Jackson carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.