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Combat Edge Intelligence

Montel Jackson vs TJ Dillashaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
75″Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Red Schafer MMATeamThe Treigning Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Montel JacksonNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747
TJ DillashawNow 1760
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1754 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.02
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
60%
Strike defense
62%
2.71
Takedown avg.
1.56
5%
Takedown accuracy
31%
67%
Takedown defense
78%
0.29
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Montel JacksonTJ Dillashaw
175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
1 (6%)
Submission
3 (18%)
6 (38%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Montel Jackson72%
TJ Dillashaw 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 72% favorite over TJ Dillashaw in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1763 vs 1760), separated by just 3 points.

Montel Jackson finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.

Montel Jackson carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.