Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Charrière vs Nauris Bartoska

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-12-1Record6-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Morgan CharrièreNow 1643
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
Nauris BartoskaNow 1644
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.02
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
2.06
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
83%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.29
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Morgan CharrièreNauris Bartoska
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (62%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
3 (14%)
Submission
2 (33%)
5 (24%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Nauris Bartoska80%
Morgan Charrière 20%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nauris Bartoska a 80% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1644), separated by just 1 points.

Nauris Bartoska enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Morgan Charrière finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nauris Bartoska 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.