AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Morgan Thong vs Ryusei Ashizawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record2-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'9"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight134 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1554 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFreelance· 1564 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Morgan ThongNow 1449
If they win+23→ 1472
If they lose-25→ 1424
Ryusei AshizawaNow 1441
If they win+25→ 1466
If they lose-23→ 1418

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Morgan ThongRyusei Ashizawa
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Morgan Thong and Ryusei Ashizawa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1449 vs 1441), separated by just 8 points.

Morgan Thong enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.