Morgan Thong vs Seigo Yamamoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record7-15-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
TBDHeight5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight136 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1556 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Cloud
What's at stake
Morgan Thong is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Seigo Yamamoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1470
If they lose-27→ 1422
If they win+18→ 1426
If they lose-14→ 1394
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Morgan ThongSeigo Yamamoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morgan Thong86%
Seigo Yamamoto 14%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Morgan Thong a 86% favorite over Seigo Yamamoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Morgan Thong holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1408, a 41-point edge.
Morgan Thong enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Seigo Yamamoto enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Seigo Yamamoto 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.