Morquez Forest vs Nicolas Sávio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach-
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Morquez ForestNicolas Sávio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Morquez Forest and Nicolas Sávio within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1643), separated by just 1 points.
Morquez Forest enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Morquez Forest finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Sávio 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.