Morquez Forest vs Tiago dos Santos e Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record22-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach 70.00"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top BrotherTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Morquez ForestTiago dos Santos e Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Morquez Forest72%
Tiago dos Santos e Silva 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Morquez Forest a 72% favorite over Tiago dos Santos e Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1627), separated by just 0 points.
Tiago dos Santos e Silva enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Morquez Forest finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tiago dos Santos e Silva 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.