Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda vs Stephan Bonnar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record15-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mostafa Abada Rashed NedaStephan Bonnar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stephan Bonnar55%
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Stephan Bonnar a 55% favorite over Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Stephan Bonnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mostafa Abada Rashed Neda finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Stephan Bonnar 67%.
Stephan Bonnar carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.