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Combat Edge Intelligence

Motonobu Tezuka vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-15-6Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Secret Base DominateTeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Motonobu TezukaNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
24%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
1.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
11%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Motonobu TezukaNicolas Mandiola
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (23%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
7 (23%)
Submission
3 (60%)
16 (53%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Motonobu Tezuka and Nicolas Mandiola within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.

Motonobu Tezuka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Motonobu Tezuka finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.