Mouhamed Gueye vs Vinicius Moreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record12-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulgarian Top Team· 1614 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFive Rounds
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1455 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mouhamed GueyeVinicius Moreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mouhamed Gueye56%
Vinicius Moreira 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Mouhamed Gueye a 56% favorite over Vinicius Moreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.
Mouhamed Gueye enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Mouhamed Gueye finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Moreira 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.