Movsar Ibragimov vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record5-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach71"
140 lbsWeight140 lbs
La CageTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Movsar Ibragimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Shane Campbell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1670
If they lose-23→ 1638
If they win+23→ 1530
If they lose-9→ 1498
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Movsar IbragimovShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Movsar Ibragimov81%
Shane Campbell 19%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Movsar Ibragimov a 81% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Movsar Ibragimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1507, a 154-point edge.
Movsar Ibragimov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 20%.
Shane Campbell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.