Combat Edge Intelligence

Mu Bae Choi vs Raphael Pessoa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mu Bae Choi
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Mu Bae Choi

“The Heavy Tank of Busan”

14-8-0HeavyweightAFC

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record10-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach78″
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Team TackleTeamTop Brother MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mu Bae ChoiNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Raphael PessoaNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
27%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.43
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mu Bae ChoiRaphael Pessoa
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
4 (29%)
Submission
1 (10%)
2 (14%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Mu Bae Choi53%
Raphael Pessoa 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Mu Bae Choi a 53% favorite over Raphael Pessoa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1566), separated by just 4 points.

Raphael Pessoa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Mu Bae Choi finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Pessoa 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.