Muhammad Ali vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
56-5-0Record15-16-0
heavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6′ 3″Height5'11"
78″Reach-
225 lbsWeight246 lbs
Fighter's HeavenTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Muhammad Ali carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
If they win+11→ 1502
If they lose-13→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammad AliRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai72%
Muhammad Ali 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 72% favorite over Muhammad Ali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1473, a 18-point edge.
Muhammad Ali enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Muhammad Ali finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.