Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhammad Mokaev vs Tatsuro Taira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-0-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
KHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1684 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhammad MokaevNow 1805
If they win+15→ 1820
If they lose-17→ 1788
Tatsuro TairaNow 1791
If they win+17→ 1808
If they lose-15→ 1776

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.61
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
45%
Strike accuracy
60%
1.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
58%
Strike defense
47%
5.29
Takedown avg.
3.12
41%
Takedown accuracy
47%
25%
Takedown defense
45%
0.85
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Muhammad MokaevTatsuro Taira
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
7 (44%)
Submission
8 (44%)
6 (38%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Muhammad Mokaev and Tatsuro Taira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1805 vs 1791), separated by just 14 points.

Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Muhammad Mokaev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuro Taira 78%.

Muhammad Mokaev and Tatsuro Taira share 1 common opponent: Alex Perez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Alex Perez
WinKO/TKO · 2024