Combat Edge Intelligence

Muhammad Naimov vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record39-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamChina Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muhammad NaimovNow 1679
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
41%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
45%
Strike defense
50%
1.69
Takedown avg.
3.30
36%
Takedown accuracy
35%
68%
Takedown defense
29%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Muhammad NaimovShayilan Nuerdanbieke
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
19 (49%)
2 (15%)
Submission
10 (26%)
5 (38%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Naimov63%
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 63% favorite over Shayilan Nuerdanbieke in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shayilan Nuerdanbieke's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Muhammad Naimov finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Shayilan Nuerdanbieke 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.