Muhammad Said vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
GOR MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1486 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammad SaidPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Said51%
Philipe Lins 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Said a 51% favorite over Philipe Lins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Philipe Lins's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1683), separated by just 2 points.
Muhammad Said enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Muhammad Said finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.