Muhammed Lawal vs Valentin Moldavsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-10-0Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFedorTeam· 1773 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Muhammed LawalValentin Moldavsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentin Moldavsky56%
Muhammed Lawal 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 56% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1697), separated by just 3 points.
Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Muhammed Lawal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.
Muhammed Lawal and Valentin Moldavsky share 1 common opponent: Ryan Bader.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.