Muhammed Lawal vs Valentin Moldavsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-10-0Record15-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFedorTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1706
If they lose-12→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muhammed LawalValentin Moldavsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentin Moldavsky73%
Muhammed Lawal 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 73% favorite over Muhammed Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Muhammed Lawal's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1693), separated by just 1 points.
Muhammed Lawal enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Muhammed Lawal finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.
Muhammed Lawal and Valentin Moldavsky share 1 common opponent: Ryan Bader.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.