Combat Edge Intelligence

Muin Gafurov vs Paris Moran

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record14-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach-
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muin GafurovNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Paris MoranNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
1.47
Takedown avg.
TBD
26%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Muin GafurovParis Moran
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
7 (35%)
Submission
2 (14%)
3 (15%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Muin Gafurov and Paris Moran within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1667), separated by just 1 points.

Paris Moran enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Muin Gafurov finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Paris Moran 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.