Mukhamad Vakhaev vs Paul Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-1Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach-
266 lbsWeight246 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1682 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamTFT MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mukhamad VakhaevPaul Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Elliott52%
Mukhamad Vakhaev 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Elliott a 52% favorite over Mukhamad Vakhaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mukhamad Vakhaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1607), separated by just 2 points.
Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mukhamad Vakhaev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Paul Elliott 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.