Combat Edge Intelligence

Mukhamad Vakhaev vs Roque Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach72,0"
266 lbsWeight239 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamSpike 22

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mukhamad VakhaevNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Roque MartinezNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Mukhamad VakhaevRoque Martinez
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
5 (38%)
Submission
4 (22%)
2 (15%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamad Vakhaev63%
Roque Martinez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamad Vakhaev a 63% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1606), separated by just 3 points.

Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mukhamad Vakhaev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.