Combat Edge Intelligence

Mukhamad Vakhaev vs Tim Hague

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Hague
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Tim Hague

“The Thrashing Machine”

21-13-0HeavyweightACB

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

13-9-1Record21-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
266 lbsWeight264 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamUFC Gym Edmonton

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mukhamad VakhaevNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593
Tim HagueNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
86%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Mukhamad VakhaevTim Hague
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
5 (38%)
Submission
4 (19%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Mukhamad Vakhaev62%
Tim Hague 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mukhamad Vakhaev a 62% favorite over Tim Hague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1609 vs 1609), separated by just 0 points.

Mukhamad Vakhaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mukhamad Vakhaev finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Tim Hague 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.