Murad Khasaev vs Paulo Cezar Araujo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record4-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight151 lbs
TeamBabuino Gold Team· 1567 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-24→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Murad KhasaevPaulo Cezar Araujo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Murad Khasaev55%
Paulo Cezar Araujo 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Murad Khasaev a 55% favorite over Paulo Cezar Araujo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.
Paulo Cezar Araujo enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Murad Khasaev finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Cezar Araujo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.