Combat Edge Intelligence

Murtaza Talha Ali vs Tom Lawlor

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tom Lawlor
us

Tom Lawlor

“Filthy”

11-8-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
KHK MMA TEAMTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murtaza Talha AliNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Tom LawlorNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.91
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
59%
Strike accuracy
42%
8.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
30%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
2.46
0%
Takedown accuracy
32%
100%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
1.38

Trajectory

Murtaza Talha AliTom Lawlor
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Murtaza Talha Ali62%
Tom Lawlor 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Murtaza Talha Ali a 62% favorite over Tom Lawlor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1583), separated by just 3 points.

Murtaza Talha Ali enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Murtaza Talha Ali finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.