Combat Edge Intelligence

Murtaza Talha Ali vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
KHK MMA TEAMTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Murtaza Talha AliNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.91
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
59%
Strike accuracy
40%
8.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
30%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Murtaza Talha AliTuco Tokkos
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
3 (50%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos60%
Murtaza Talha Ali 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 60% favorite over Murtaza Talha Ali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1592), separated by just 6 points.

Murtaza Talha Ali enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Murtaza Talha Ali finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.