AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Muslim Magomedov vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-0-0Record22-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
72"Reach 78"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Academy MMATeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

Muslim Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Reinier de Ridder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Muslim MagomedovNow 1795
If they win+15→ 1810
If they lose-17→ 1778
Reinier de RidderNow 1774
If they win+17→ 1791
If they lose-15→ 1759

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.56
Not available
Takedown accuracy
10%
Not available
Takedown defense
40%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Muslim MagomedovReinier de Ridder
17001750180020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
2 (12%)
Submission
13 (59%)
8 (47%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Magomedov52%
Reinier de Ridder 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 52% favorite over Reinier de Ridder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Muslim Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1774, a 21-point edge.

Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Muslim Magomedov finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Reinier de Ridder carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.