Muslim Magomedov vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-0-0Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Academy MMATeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Tito Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Muslim Magomedov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1779
If they lose-15→ 1747
If they win+11→ 1800
If they lose-13→ 1776
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muslim MagomedovTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Magomedov70%
Tito Ortiz 30%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 70% favorite over Tito Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tito Ortiz's way (46%).
Tito Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1762, a 27-point edge.
Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Muslim Magomedov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.