Muslim Magomedov vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-0-0Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Academy MMATeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1797
If they lose-16→ 1765
If they win+12→ 1801
If they lose-12→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Muslim MagomedovTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muslim Magomedov70%
Tito Ortiz 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 70% favorite over Tito Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tito Ortiz's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1789), separated by just 8 points.
Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Muslim Magomedov finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.