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Combat Edge Intelligence

Muslim Magomedov vs Tito Ortiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tito Ortiz
us

Tito Ortiz

“The Huntington Beach Bad Boy”

21-12-1Light HeavyweightCAMMA

1789Great

Tale of the tape

17-0-0Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Academy MMATeamTeam Punishment

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Muslim MagomedovNow 1795
If they win+16→ 1811
If they lose-16→ 1779
Tito OrtizNow 1789
If they win+12→ 1801
If they lose-12→ 1777

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.88
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.47
Not available
Takedown accuracy
36%
Not available
Takedown defense
54%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Muslim MagomedovTito Ortiz
17501800201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
2 (12%)
Submission
5 (24%)
8 (47%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Muslim Magomedov63%
Tito Ortiz 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Muslim Magomedov a 63% favorite over Tito Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1795 vs 1789), separated by just 6 points.

Muslim Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Muslim Magomedov finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.