Myles Jury vs Nik Bagley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-6-0Record10-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73.00Reach-
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Power MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Myles JuryNik Bagley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Bagley70%
Myles Jury 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Bagley a 70% favorite over Myles Jury in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Myles Jury's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1694), separated by just 0 points.
Nik Bagley enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Myles Jury finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Nik Bagley 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.