Márcio Barbosa vs Steve Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-2-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height6'0"
70"Reach75"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Equipe RD ChampionsTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Márcio BarbosaSteve Garcia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Márcio Barbosa58%
Steve Garcia 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 58% favorite over Steve Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1723), separated by just 4 points.
Márcio Barbosa enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Márcio Barbosa finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Steve Garcia 79%.
Steve Garcia carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.