Nad Narimani vs Rhys McKee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record15-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
40,5"Reach78"
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamNext Generation Northern Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nad NarimaniRhys McKee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rhys McKee66%
Nad Narimani 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rhys McKee a 66% favorite over Nad Narimani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nad Narimani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Nad Narimani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nad Narimani finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rhys McKee 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.