Nam Phan vs Takeya Mizugaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-17-0Record23-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
141 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nam Phan MMA AcademyTeamHakkei Gym
What's at stake
Takeya Mizugaki is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nam Phan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1553
If they lose-10→ 1529
If they win+10→ 1618
If they lose-14→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nam PhanTakeya Mizugaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Takeya Mizugaki72%
Nam Phan 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Takeya Mizugaki a 72% favorite over Nam Phan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Takeya Mizugaki holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1539, a 69-point edge.
Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nam Phan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.