Nam Phan vs Vaughan Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Vaughan Lee
Elo1507AverageTale of the tape
21-17-0Record14-14-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
141 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nam Phan MMA AcademyTeamUTC Birmingham
What's at stake
Nam Phan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vaughan Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1550
If they lose-13→ 1526
If they win+13→ 1520
If they lose-11→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nam PhanVaughan Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nam Phan56%
Vaughan Lee 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Nam Phan a 56% favorite over Vaughan Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Nam Phan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1539 to 1507, a 32-point edge.
Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vaughan Lee enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Nam Phan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vaughan Lee 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.