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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nam Phan vs Vaughan Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nam Phan
us

Nam Phan

21-17-0FeatherweightACB

1540Average

Tale of the tape

21-17-0Record14-14-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
141 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nam Phan MMA AcademyTeamUTC Birmingham

What's at stake

Nam Phan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Vaughan Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nam PhanNow 1540
If they win+11→ 1551
If they lose-13→ 1527
Vaughan LeeNow 1513
If they win+13→ 1526
If they lose-11→ 1502

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
38%
Strike accuracy
47%
6.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
59%
Strike defense
70%
0.18
Takedown avg.
0.81
18%
Takedown accuracy
33%
61%
Takedown defense
72%
0.18
Submission avg.
1.01

Trajectory

Nam PhanVaughan Lee
1500155016002015201620172018

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
6 (29%)
Submission
7 (50%)
7 (33%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nam Phan and Vaughan Lee within a point of even.

Nam Phan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1540 to 1513, a 27-point edge.

Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vaughan Lee enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Nam Phan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vaughan Lee 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.