Combat Edge Intelligence

Namiko Kawabata vs Randa Markos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randa Markos
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Randa Markos

“Quiet Storm”

11-11-1StrawweightUFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
108 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Namiko KawabataNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Randa MarkosNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.12
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Namiko KawabataRanda Markos
1500155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (71%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Randa Markos59%
Namiko Kawabata 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Randa Markos a 59% favorite over Namiko Kawabata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Namiko Kawabata's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.

Namiko Kawabata finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.