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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nandor Guelmino vs Ryan Firinaiu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-1Record2-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
TBDReach-
230 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23· 1617 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMMA Gold Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nandor GuelminoNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
57%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
34%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Nandor GuelminoRyan Firinaiu
155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
6 (55%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nandor Guelmino and Ryan Firinaiu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1557), separated by just 2 points.

Nandor Guelmino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nandor Guelmino finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.