Naoyuki Kotani vs Norman Parke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-19-7Record32-7-1
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach40,0"
155 lbsWeight200 lbs
Rodeo StyleTeamNext Generation NI
What's at stake
Norman Parke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Naoyuki Kotani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1611
If they lose-7→ 1587
If they win+7→ 1744
If they lose-17→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Naoyuki KotaniNorman Parke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norman Parke84%
Naoyuki Kotani 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Norman Parke a 84% favorite over Naoyuki Kotani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Norman Parke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1594, a 143-point edge.
Naoyuki Kotani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Norman Parke enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Naoyuki Kotani finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Norman Parke 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.