Combat Edge Intelligence

Naoyuki Kotani vs Viacheslav Borshchev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-19-7Record8-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
TBDReach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Rodeo StyleTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Naoyuki KotaniNow 1594
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Viacheslav BorshchevNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.02
Sig. strikes / min
5.22
31%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.73
50%
Strike defense
57%
0.83
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
47%
Takedown defense
43%
0.83
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Naoyuki KotaniViacheslav Borshchev
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

6 (16%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
27 (73%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (11%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Viacheslav Borshchev66%
Naoyuki Kotani 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Viacheslav Borshchev a 66% favorite over Naoyuki Kotani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Naoyuki Kotani's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1594), separated by just 0 points.

Naoyuki Kotani enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Naoyuki Kotani finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Viacheslav Borshchev 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.