Nassourdine Imavov vs Phil Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'11"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nassourdine Imavov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Phil Hawes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1797
If they lose-23→ 1765
If they win+23→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1738 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nassourdine ImavovPhil Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nassourdine Imavov84%
Phil Hawes 16%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Nassourdine Imavov a 84% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Nassourdine Imavov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1623, a 165-point edge.
Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nassourdine Imavov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.
Nassourdine Imavov and Phil Hawes share 1 common opponent: Roman Dolidze.
Phil Hawes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.