Natalia Alves vs Raiane Vinuto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record6-1-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'0"Height5'5"
-Reach66.5"
115 lbsWeight117 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1678 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamMSP· 1627 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Natalia Alves is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Raiane Vinuto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1694
If they lose-28→ 1646
If they win+28→ 1644
If they lose-20→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Natalia AlvesRaiane Vinuto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natalia Alves60%
Raiane Vinuto 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Natalia Alves a 60% favorite over Raiane Vinuto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Natalia Alves holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1616, a 58-point edge.
Natalia Alves enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Raiane Vinuto enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Natalia Alves finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Raiane Vinuto 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.