Natan Levy vs Yanal Ashmouz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach68"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Natan LevyYanal Ashmouz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yanal Ashmouz54%
Natan Levy 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yanal Ashmouz a 54% favorite over Natan Levy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Natan Levy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.
Natan Levy finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.
Natan Levy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.