Combat Edge Intelligence

Natan Levy vs Yanal Ashmouz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Natan Levy
il

Natan Levy

“Lethal”

8-2-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
71"Reach68"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Natan LevyNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
Yanal AshmouzNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
2.94
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
59%
Strike defense
56%
5.03
Takedown avg.
4.80
58%
Takedown accuracy
50%
41%
Takedown defense
60%
0.48
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Natan LevyYanal Ashmouz
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (25%)
5 (63%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Natan Levy and Yanal Ashmouz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1635), separated by just 0 points.

Natan Levy finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Yanal Ashmouz 75%.

Natan Levy carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.