Combat Edge Intelligence

Natan Schulte vs Will Brooks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-6-1Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Natan SchulteNow 1772
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
Will BrooksNow 1767
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-12→ 1755

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
52%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Natan SchulteWill Brooks
175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (15%)
KO/TKO
7 (27%)
10 (38%)
Submission
6 (23%)
12 (46%)
Decision
13 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Natan Schulte70%
Will Brooks 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Natan Schulte a 70% favorite over Will Brooks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1772 vs 1767), separated by just 5 points.

Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Natan Schulte finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.

Will Brooks carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.