Nate Diaz vs Sean Clancy Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-14-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
If they win+24→ 1698
If they lose-24→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate DiazSean Clancy Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Clancy Jr.60%
Nate Diaz 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Clancy Jr. a 60% favorite over Nate Diaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Diaz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.
Sean Clancy Jr. enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Nate Diaz finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Sean Clancy Jr. 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.