Nate Diaz vs Takanori Gomi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-14-0Record35-15-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
76"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamKugayama Rascal
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate DiazTakanori Gomi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Diaz66%
Takanori Gomi 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Diaz a 66% favorite over Takanori Gomi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1665), separated by just 9 points.
Nate Diaz finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Takanori Gomi 57%.
Nate Diaz carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.