Nate Loughran vs Tim Credeur
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record12-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nor-Cal Fighting AllianceTeamGladiators Academy
What's at stake
Tim Credeur is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nate Loughran carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1595
If they lose-19→ 1547
If they win+13→ 1655
If they lose-19→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate LoughranTim Credeur
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Credeur54%
Nate Loughran 46%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Credeur a 54% favorite over Nate Loughran in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Tim Credeur holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1566, a 76-point edge.
Nate Loughran enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tim Credeur enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Loughran finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tim Credeur 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.