Combat Edge Intelligence

Nate Maness vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-3-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Salvation Mixed Martial ArtsTeamEagles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nate ManessNow 1736
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
43%
Strike defense
52%
0.68
Takedown avg.
2.94
75%
Takedown accuracy
39%
80%
Takedown defense
62%
0.68
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Nate ManessTagir Ulanbekov
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
3 (19%)
Submission
8 (47%)
7 (44%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Ulanbekov62%
Nate Maness 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 62% favorite over Nate Maness in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1736 vs 1740), separated by just 4 points.

Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nate Maness finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Nate Maness carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.