Nate Maness vs Tony Gravely
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record23-9-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
72"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Salvation Mixed Martial ArtsTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Nate Maness is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tony Gravely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1750
If they lose-18→ 1718
If they win+14→ 1698
If they lose-10→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate ManessTony Gravely
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Maness66%
Tony Gravely 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Maness a 66% favorite over Tony Gravely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Nate Maness holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1684, a 52-point edge.
Nate Maness enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tony Gravely enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Maness finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Tony Gravely 57%.
Nate Maness and Tony Gravely share 1 common opponent: Johnny Munoz Jr..
Nate Maness carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.