Combat Edge Intelligence

Nate Marquardt vs Tamdan McCrory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-20-2Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
42,0"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
High Altitude Martial ArtsTeamCNY MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nate MarquardtNow 1651
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Tamdan McCroryNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
56%
Strike defense
47%
1.87
Takedown avg.
2.28
51%
Takedown accuracy
50%
71%
Takedown defense
33%
0.85
Submission avg.
2.47

Trajectory

Nate MarquardtTamdan McCrory
165017002015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

13 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
15 (42%)
Submission
5 (36%)
8 (22%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamdan McCrory60%
Nate Marquardt 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamdan McCrory a 60% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1642), separated by just 9 points.

Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nate Marquardt finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.