Combat Edge Intelligence

Nate Quarry vs Rich Franklin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record29-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team QuestTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Nate Quarry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nate QuarryNow 1566
If they win+22→ 1588
If they lose-10→ 1556
Rich FranklinNow 1710
If they win+7→ 1717
If they lose-17→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.96
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
66%
Strike defense
63%
0.25
Takedown avg.
1.31
33%
Takedown accuracy
67%
60%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Nate QuarryRich Franklin
155016001650170020082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (17%)
3 (25%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rich Franklin83%
Nate Quarry 17%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Rich Franklin a 83% favorite over Nate Quarry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1566, a 144-point edge.

Nate Quarry finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rich Franklin 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.