Nate Quarry vs Shonie Carter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record52-32-7
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight176 lbs
Team QuestTeamIron Academy
What's at stake
Nate Quarry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shonie Carter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1579
If they lose-19→ 1547
If they win+14→ 1511
If they lose-10→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate QuarryShonie Carter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Quarry72%
Shonie Carter 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Quarry a 72% favorite over Shonie Carter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Nate Quarry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1566 to 1497, a 69-point edge.
Shonie Carter enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Quarry finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shonie Carter 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.