Nate Smith vs Sahil Shakirov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFighter Gorec 86
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nate SmithSahil Shakirov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sahil Shakirov52%
Nate Smith 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sahil Shakirov a 52% favorite over Nate Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1555), separated by just 3 points.
Nate Smith enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nate Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Sahil Shakirov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.