Nathan Coy vs Phil Rowe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'3"
39,0"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nathan CoyPhil Rowe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Rowe60%
Nathan Coy 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 60% favorite over Nathan Coy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Coy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1638), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nathan Coy finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.